two & a half gamers

The sell-off was triggered by fear, not facts. Google’s Project Genie demo sparked a narrative that “AI games are here,” even though the tech currently produces short, silent video scenes with no logic, no scoring, no input handling, and no gameplay systems. Investors reacted as if game development had been solved overnight. The result was a disproportionate crash: Unity down nearly 40%, AppLovin down ~33%, Roblox down ~19%, and Take-Two also hit hard, while the NASDAQ itself fell only ~4.5%. That gap tells the real story.

Meanwhile, Meta delivered numbers that completely contradict the panic. Meta apps now reach 3.6 billion daily active users, up 7% year-over-year, and total company revenue surpassed $200B, with $60B coming from Q4 alone. This highlights the widening gap between perception and performance. While markets panic about AI replacing games, the platforms that actually monetize attention at scale continue to grow quietly and relentlessly.

On the publisher side, strategy divergence is becoming obvious. Stillfront cut revenue by 9% but significantly expanded margins, cleaned up its portfolio, and exited non-core narrative games. MTG Group posted record revenue and profits, fueled by Plarium and strong UA discipline, while also preparing an IPO for PlaySimple in India. In contrast, Embracer’s mobile revenue collapsed 61% year-over-year in Q2, underscoring how exposed unfocused portfolios are in this market. Capital is flowing toward efficiency, not experimentation.

---------------------------------------
This is no BS gaming podcast 2.5 gamers session. Sharing actionable insights, dropping knowledge from our day-to-day User Acquisition, Game Design, and Ad monetization jobs. We are definitely not discussing the latest industry news, but having so much fun! Let’s not forget this is a 4 a.m. conference discussion vibe, so let's not take it too seriously.
Host: Ömer Yakabagi from Gamigion
https://gamigion.com

Join our slack channel here: https://join.slack.com/t/two-and-half-gamers/shared_invite/zt-2um8eguhf-c~H9idcxM271mnPzdWbipg

Chapters
00:00 — 🚨📢 Why gaming stocks suddenly crashed
00:35 — AI panic: Project Genie misunderstood
01:30 — Why this is not “AI games replacing devs”
02:20 — Unity, AppLovin & Roblox overreaction
03:10 — Meta’s real numbers vs market fear
04:05 — Stillfront, MTG & portfolio cleanups
05:05 — Embracer’s mobile collapse
05:45 — Final takeaway: panic vs fundamentals
---------------------------------------
Matej Lancaric
User Acquisition & Creatives Consultant
⁠https://lancaric.me
Felix Braberg
Ad monetization consultant
⁠https://www.felixbraberg.com
Jakub Remiar
Game design consultant
⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/jakubremiar
---------------------------------------
Please share the podcast with your industry friends, dogs & cats. Especially cats! They love it!
Hit the Subscribe button on YouTube, Spotify, and Apple!
Please share feedback and comments - [email protected]
---------------------------------------
If you are interested in getting UA tips every week on Monday, visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠lancaric.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ & sign up for the Brutally Honest newsletter by Matej Lancaric
Do you have UA questions nobody can answer? Ask ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Matej AI⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - the First UA AI in the gaming industry! https://lancaric.me/matej-ai

This Softlaunch Sonar episode is a reality check.

Studios are shipping faster than ever, cloning proven mechanics within weeks, and still failing to create real differentiation. PixelFlow, Arrow Flow, Sand Loop and their endless variations show how quickly the market reacts, and how rarely it innovates.

The discussion cuts through cozy games, monster IP arms races, match-3 fatigue, and why “being early” now matters more than production quality. Softlaunch isn’t about polish anymore. It’s about speed, angle, and knowing when the train has already left the station.

Get our MERCH NOW: 25gamers.com/shop
--------------------------------------
PVX Partners offers non-dilutive funding for game developers.
Go to: https://pvxpartners.com/
They can help you access the most effective form of growth capital once you have the metrics to back it.
- Scale fast
- Keep your shares
- Drawdown only as needed
- Have PvX take downside risk alongside you
+ Work with a team entirely made up of ex-gaming operators and investors
---------------------------------------
For an ever-growing number of game developers, this means that now is the perfect time to invest in monetizing direct-to-consumer at scale.
Our sponsor FastSpring:
Has delivered D2C at scale for over 20 years
They power top mobile publishers around the world
Launch a new webstore, replace an existing D2C vendor, or add a redundant D2C vendor at fastspring.gg.
---------------------------------------
This is no BS gaming podcast 2.5 gamers session. Sharing actionable insights, dropping knowledge from our day-to-day User Acquisition, Game Design, and Ad monetization jobs. We are definitely not discussing the latest industry news, but having so much fun! Let’s not forget this is a 4 a.m. conference discussion vibe, so let's not take it too seriously.
Panelists: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Jakub Remia⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠r,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Felix Braberg, Matej Lancaric⁠
Podcast:

Join our slack channel here: https://join.slack.com/t/two-and-half-gamers/shared_invite/zt-2um8eguhf-c~H9idcxM271mnPzdWbipg

Chapters
00:00 — What Softlaunch Sonar actually is
01:15 — High-budget monster games vs reality (FunPlus, Pokémon-likes)
03:55 — Why cozy games are exploding (Hoyoverse, female skew)
06:45 — Defining success for high-budget live-ops games
08:30 — Social casino logic leaking into new genres
10:05 — Puzzle as the new hypercasual
12:00 — Dice, merge, and “half a UA solution” games
14:05 — PixelFlow clones start flooding the market
16:20 — Why Moon Active copying PixelFlow makes no sense
18:40 — Being late is worse than being wrong
21:05 — Match-3 is no longer the safe bet
23:20 — Physics puzzles and Sand Loop iterations
25:40 — When art style alone kills CPI
27:55 — Dragon shooter puzzle: real innovation or fake ad?
30:15 — Arrow Flow and the speed of cloning
32:10 — Why most softlaunch games will never scale
34:20 — Final verdict: speed beats originality (for now)
---------------------------------------
Matej Lancaric
User Acquisition & Creatives Consultant
⁠https://lancaric.me
Felix Braberg
Ad monetization consultant
⁠https://www.felixbraberg.com
Jakub Remiar
Game design consultant
⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/jakubremiar
---------------------------------------
Please share the podcast with your industry friends, dogs & cats. Especially cats! They love it!
Hit the Subscribe button on YouTube, Spotify, and Apple!
Please share feedback and comments - [email protected]
---------------------------------------
If you are interested in getting UA tips every week on Monday, visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠lancaric.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ & sign up for the Brutally Honest newsletter by Matej Lancaric
Do you have UA questions nobody can answer? Ask ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Matej AI⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - the First UA AI in the gaming industry! https://lancaric.me/matej-ai

Before you soft launch, check this. Or your data will lie. In this episode, Matej walks through a complete soft launch checklist covering tracking, attribution, monetization hygiene, pricing, live ops readiness, UA setup, and creatives.

This is not a full guide. The full guide is here: https://payhip.com/b/fJi9E
It’s everything that must work before you judge CPI, retention, or ROAS.

What Matej covers
• MMP & Firebase setup
• iOS ATT and conversion schemas
• Crash & ANR thresholds
• Revenue deduplication & fraud
• Ad mediation basics
• Geo pricing strategy
• Content & live ops readiness
• Store listings & creatives

Key takeaway:
If the setup is broken, nothing matters.
---------------------------------------
This is no BS gaming podcast 2.5 gamers session. Sharing actionable insights, dropping knowledge from our day-to-day User Acquisition, Game Design, and Ad monetization jobs. We are definitely not discussing the latest industry news, but having so much fun! Let’s not forget this is a 4 a.m. conference discussion vibe, so let's not take it too seriously.
Panelists: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Jakub Remia⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠r,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Felix Braberg, Matej Lancaric⁠
Podcast:

Join our slack channel here: https://join.slack.com/t/two-and-half-gamers/shared_invite/zt-2um8eguhf-c~H9idcxM271mnPzdWbipg

Chapters
00:00 — Why most soft launches fail
01:15 — The technical phase nobody skips (but should)
02:40 — MMP, Firebase, and key events
04:20 — iOS conversion schemas & ATT logic
05:50 — Crashes, ANRs, and store penalties
07:10 — Revenue deduplication mistakes
08:20 — Purchase validation & cheaters
09:30 — Ad mediation basics in soft launch
11:00 — Balancing ads vs retention
12:10 — Geo pricing and monetization power
13:30 — Content roadmap & live ops thinking
14:50 — UA readiness & campaign setup
16:00 — Store listings, ASO & keywords
17:20 — Creatives for soft launch (what NOT to fake)
---------------------------------------
Matej Lancaric
User Acquisition & Creatives Consultant
⁠https://lancaric.me
Felix Braberg
Ad monetization consultant
⁠https://www.felixbraberg.com
Jakub Remiar
Game design consultant
⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/jakubremiar
---------------------------------------
Please share the podcast with your industry friends, dogs & cats. Especially cats! They love it!
Hit the Subscribe button on YouTube, Spotify, and Apple!
Please share feedback and comments - [email protected]
---------------------------------------
If you are interested in getting UA tips every week on Monday, visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠lancaric.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ & sign up for the Brutally Honest newsletter by Matej Lancaric
Do you have UA questions nobody can answer? Ask ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Matej AI⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - the First UA AI in the gaming industry! https://lancaric.me/matej-ai

Meta is not back on iOS. We just got fooled. In this emergency episode, we break down what actually happened during the two-day Meta revenue spike that made everyone think Facebook had solved iOS tracking.

Spoiler: they didn’t.

We explain ATT, IDFA, why Meta collapsed in 2021, how AppLovin took over iOS, and how aggressive end cards temporarily boosted Meta revenue before retention crashed and performance returned to baseline.

What we cover
• ATT and Meta’s iOS collapse
• Why Meta revenue spiked for 48 hours
• Aggressive end cards explained
• Why retention dropped immediately
• Who lost revenue during the spike
• Is Meta really coming back?

Get our MERCH NOW: 25gamers.com/shop
--------------------------------------
PVX Partners offers non-dilutive funding for game developers.
Go to: https://pvxpartners.com/
They can help you access the most effective form of growth capital once you have the metrics to back it.
- Scale fast
- Keep your shares
- Drawdown only as needed
- Have PvX take downside risk alongside you
+ Work with a team entirely made up of ex-gaming operators and investors
---------------------------------------
For an ever-growing number of game developers, this means that now is the perfect time to invest in monetizing direct-to-consumer at scale.
Our sponsor FastSpring:
Has delivered D2C at scale for over 20 years
They power top mobile publishers around the world
Launch a new webstore, replace an existing D2C vendor, or add a redundant D2C vendor at fastspring.gg.
---------------------------------------
This is no BS gaming podcast 2.5 gamers session. Sharing actionable insights, dropping knowledge from our day-to-day User Acquisition, Game Design, and Ad monetization jobs. We are definitely not discussing the latest industry news, but having so much fun! Let’s not forget this is a 4 a.m. conference discussion vibe, so let's not take it too seriously.
Panelists: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Jakub Remia⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠r,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Felix Braberg, Matej Lancaric⁠
Podcast:

Join our slack channel here: https://join.slack.com/t/two-and-half-gamers/shared_invite/zt-2um8eguhf-c~H9idcxM271mnPzdWbipg

Chapters
00:00 — Why this is an emergency episode
01:20 — The ATT reset (April 2021 recap)
03:30 — How Meta collapsed on iOS
05:10 — Apple Search Ads quietly wins
07:00 — AppLovin fills the iOS vacuum
09:00 — The sudden Meta revenue spike
11:00 — Why everyone thought Meta was “back”
13:00 — What actually changed (end cards)
15:10 — Interactive end cards and double ads
17:30 — Retention drops as revenue spikes
19:40 — Why this only lasted two days
21:30 — Who lost revenue (Unity, AppLovin)
23:10 — Why Meta is still late
25:00 — What this means for UA managers
27:10 — Is Meta actually coming back?
29:00 — Final verdict
---------------------------------------
Matej Lancaric
User Acquisition & Creatives Consultant
⁠https://lancaric.me
Felix Braberg
Ad monetization consultant
⁠https://www.felixbraberg.com
Jakub Remiar
Game design consultant
⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/jakubremiar
---------------------------------------
Please share the podcast with your industry friends, dogs & cats. Especially cats! They love it!
Hit the Subscribe button on YouTube, Spotify, and Apple!
Please share feedback and comments - [email protected]
---------------------------------------
If you are interested in getting UA tips every week on Monday, visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠lancaric.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ & sign up for the Brutally Honest newsletter by Matej Lancaric
Do you have UA questions nobody can answer? Ask ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Matej AI⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - the First UA AI in the gaming industry! https://lancaric.me/matej-ai

Mobile gaming revenue stagnates on paper, Monopoly GO becomes the fastest game ever to hit $6B, and Liftoff officially files for a US IPO.

This episode breaks down what the data says, what it misses, and why web stores, hybrid casual, and AdTech exits define the next phase of mobile gaming.

What we cover
• Mobile revenue vs reality
• Hybrid casual growth
• Monopoly GO’s $6B milestone
• Web stores and platform leakage
• Liftoff IPO & AdTech exits

Get our MERCH NOW: 25gamers.com/shop
---------------------------------------
This is no BS gaming podcast 2.5 gamers session. Sharing actionable insights, dropping knowledge from our day-to-day User Acquisition, Game Design, and Ad monetization jobs. We are definitely not discussing the latest industry news, but having so much fun! Let’s not forget this is a 4 a.m. conference discussion vibe, so let's not take it too seriously.
Panelists: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Jakub Remia⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠r,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Felix Braberg, Matej Lancaric⁠
Podcast:

Join our slack channel here: https://join.slack.com/t/two-and-half-gamers/shared_invite/zt-2um8eguhf-c~H9idcxM271mnPzdWbipg

Chapters
00:00 — Intro & why this week matters
00:35 — Mobile revenue stagnation explained
01:45 — The web revenue blind spot
02:50 — Hybrid casual growth signals
03:40 — Monopoly GO hits $6B (record speed)
05:10 — Why Monopoly GO is underreported
06:10 — Web stores and Supercell traffic
07:05 — Liftoff files for IPO
08:30 — What this means for AdTech in 2026
09:05 — Final take & outro
---------------------------------------
Matej Lancaric
User Acquisition & Creatives Consultant
⁠https://lancaric.me
Felix Braberg
Ad monetization consultant
⁠https://www.felixbraberg.com
Jakub Remiar
Game design consultant
⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/jakubremiar
---------------------------------------
Please share the podcast with your industry friends, dogs & cats. Especially cats! They love it!
Hit the Subscribe button on YouTube, Spotify, and Apple!
Please share feedback and comments - [email protected]
---------------------------------------
If you are interested in getting UA tips every week on Monday, visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠lancaric.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ & sign up for the Brutally Honest newsletter by Matej Lancaric
Do you have UA questions nobody can answer? Ask ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Matej AI⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - the First UA AI in the gaming industry! https://lancaric.me/matej-ai