two & a half gamers

It's day two of the World Cup, and the biggest download winner isn't any of the football games anyone predicted — it's a Coca-Cola-sponsored sticker-album app. That's just one of three stories this week that matter for mobile.
Felix Braberg flies solo for the Friday news segment. The FIFA Panini Collection is pulling roughly half a million downloads a day across Brazil, Mexico, and the US — 12.2 million downloads in 30 days and ~$1.5M revenue — built around Panini's physical collectible-card heritage and Coca-Cola bottle QR codes. Felix also crunched the numbers on Block Blast's 24-hour Google Play takedown (rumored IP infringement) and found it cost the game roughly $120K/day in lost ad revenue, with a 17% daily-active-user drop and a 14-month download low. And Supercell's US game development is winding down — one project killed, another in limbo after staff departures — feeding the bigger question of when (or whether) Supercell lands its next hit.
Three stories, one theme: distribution is fragile, and even the biggest names are exposed.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⏱️ TIMESTAMPS
00:00 Cold open — Block Blast's lost daily active users

00:40 FIFA Panini wins the World Cup download race

03:00 The Coca-Cola + Panini sticker-album playbook

04:30 Block Blast's 24-hour outage — the real cost

06:30 The $120K/day loss and the Turkey/Indonesia drop

08:00 Supercell kills a US game, another in limbo
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📌 KEY TAKEAWAYS
— The surprise winner of the World Cup download race is the FIFA Panini Collection — a Coca-Cola-sponsored, Panini-built digital sticker-album game. It's pulling roughly 500K downloads a day (12.2M in 30 days, up 6.6M), ~$1.5M revenue (up over $1M), and close to 1.7M daily active users, concentrated in Brazil, Mexico, and the US. None of the football games people predicted are winning — this is.
— The FIFA Panini model is a convergence of trends the podcast has tracked: digital sticker-album collecting (increasingly common in casual games), trading mechanics, and a physical-to-digital bridge via Coca-Cola bottle QR codes. It's effectively a marketing front to sell more Coke, and a fascinating hybrid worth a dedicated episode.
— Block Blast's 24-hour Google Play takedown (rumored IP infringement) was far more costly than the short outage suggests. Downloads dropped to a near 14-month low, and the game lost about 17% of its Android daily active users — roughly 6.3M users, from 37.8M down to 31.5M between late May and June 8.
— The damage compounds because Block Blast relies on an organic download engine to supplement paid marketing. When you're taken down, the store algorithms penalize you and rankings get worse — so the hit outlasts the outage itself. The biggest geo drops were Turkey (down ~41%, from 4.3M to 2.5M) and Indonesia (down 23%, from 5.87M to 4.54M).
— Since Block Blast is ad-revenue driven, that DAU loss translates to roughly $120K/day in lost advertising revenue for Hungry Studios — a steep, ongoing price for a single day of downtime.
— Supercell's US game development is winding down. One project (in development ~3.5 years by ex-Riot staff) was killed and the team disbanded; another is in limbo after most staff departed in late 2025 / early 2026. It feeds the recurring question of when Supercell lands its next hit, given a string of titles launched via questionable, soft-launch-skipping methods that haven't panned out.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🎙️ HOST
Felix Braberg — Ad Monetization consultant
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
👍 Like the video if you learned something
🔔 Subscribe for next week's news segment
#mobilegaming #useracquisition #blockblast #supercell #worldcup #admonetization #f2p

AI creatives just hit a new level and the most surprising convert is Playrix. After years of holding back, they've gone all-in on AI across Township, Gardenscapes, and Homescapes. Matej, Jakub, Felix (and Freddie the robot) review 100+ AI creatives to figure out what's actually working right now.
The episode is a guided tour through the current AI creative landscape: AppQuantum's Golden Goblins running AI influencers from a creative team scaling toward 100 people, Playrix's full-AI pivot with the recurring "there are no ads in Township" concept (and Felix's repeated insistence that ads are coming anyway), the "getting slapped" husband concept that has spread across the entire 4X category in a single month, freezing-families intros rendered at near-Pixar quality, the pajama guy who quietly took over Last War / Dark War creatives, and the broader collapse of creative production timelines from a week to a single day. It's the clearest snapshot yet of how fast AI creative production is moving — and how quickly a single winning concept now propagates across an entire genre.
The throughline: this isn't about whether AI creatives work anymore. It's about who's iterating fastest.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⏱️ TIMESTAMPS
00:00 Cold open — Freddie the robot judges the AI creatives
02:30 AppQuantum's Golden Goblins and the 100-person creative team
04:00 Century portfolio downscaling AI (and near-Pixar quality)
07:30 Playrix goes full AI across all three games
08:00 "There are no ads in Township" — the recurring concept
16:30 Freezing Families gets the full AI intro treatment
22:20 The "getting slapped" concept takes over all of Forex
33:30 Top Heroes, anime quality, and where this is heading
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━-
PVX Partners offers non-dilutive funding for game developers.
Go to: https://pvxpartners.com/
They can help you access the most effective form of growth capital once you have the metrics to back it.
- Scale fast
- Keep your shares
- Drawdown only as needed
- Have PvX take downside risk alongside you
+ Work with a team entirely made up of ex-gaming operators and investors
---------------------------------------
For an ever-growing number of game developers, this means that now is the perfect time to invest in monetizing direct-to-consumer at scale.
Our sponsor FastSpring:
Has delivered D2C at scale for over 20 years
They power top mobile publishers around the world
Launch a new webstore, replace an existing D2C vendor, or add a redundant D2C vendor at fastspring.gg.
---------------------------------------
This is no BS gaming podcast 2.5 gamers session. Sharing actionable insights, dropping knowledge from our day-to-day User Acquisition, Game Design, and Ad monetization jobs. We are definitely not discussing the latest industry news, but having so much fun! Let’s not forget this is a 4 a.m. conference discussion vibe, so let's not take it too seriously.
Panelists: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Jakub Remia⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠r,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Felix Braberg, Matej Lancaric⁠

Join our slack channel here: https://join.slack.com/t/two-and-half-gamers/shared_invite/zt-3bckldvr8-8PXvzciMWdheOzED9hq0SA

---------------------------------------
Matej Lancaric
User Acquisition & Creatives Consultant
⁠https://lancaric.me
Felix Braberg
Ad monetization consultant
⁠https://www.felixbraberg.com
Jakub Remiar
Game design consultant
⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/jakubremiar
---------------------------------------
Please share the podcast with your industry friends, dogs & cats. Especially cats! They love it!
Hit the Subscribe button on YouTube, Spotify, and Apple!
Please share feedback and comments - matej@lancaric.me
---------------------------------------
If you are interested in getting UA tips every week on Monday, visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠lancaric.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ & sign up for the Brutally Honest newsletter by Matej Lancaric

Not all rewarded users are the same — and treating them as one audience is exactly why so many rewarded UA campaigns underperform. Recorded live on Day 2 of MAU Vegas, this conversation breaks down how Tyr Ads segments rewarded traffic into three distinct personas and engineers profitability around the mix.
Matej Lančarič sits down with Zino, CEO of Tyr Ads (and the Try Rewards consumer product), to unpack the year's changes: a brand-new in-house platform built specifically for rewarded (because third-party tracking simply isn't built for it), AI-driven user labeling that sorts players into reward hunters, casual/social users, and gamblers, and an A/B testing and LiveOps system that targets each segment with different reward funnels. They get into why too many gamblers will actually lose you money, how the day-7-to-day-30 curve drives faster ROI and more aggressive bidding, the new Nordeus exclusive offerwall deal, why Tyr is betting on gaming supply over reward apps, and where rewarded UA is heading — segmentation, recommendation models, and a full shift to ROAS-based campaigns.

⏱️ TIMESTAMPS
00:00 Cold open — the day-7-to-day-30 curve and faster ROI
01:30 Tyr Ads intro and what changed this year
02:54 The new in-house platform and audience segmentation
03:30 The three personas — reward hunter, social, gambler
05:40 Why too many gamblers loses you money
09:25 How the recommendation models hit day-7 targets
15:55 A 50/50 IAP/ads game — where to start
21:08 The Nordeus exclusive deal and the gaming-supply bet
26:46 Where rewarded UA is heading — ROAS and 2027

📌 KEY TAKEAWAYS
— Rewarded users aren't one audience — they're three. Tyr Ads segments into reward hunters (maximize earnings, jump app to app), casual/social users (play for a long time, community-driven, less aggressive), and gamblers (chase the big jackpot reward, spend whatever it takes). Each behaves differently and needs a different reward structure.
— The mix is everything. Too many reward hunters or too many gamblers and you lose money — gamblers in particular are expensive because they chase the deep reward and cost a lot to satisfy. The profitable formula combines all three segments so it works for the advertiser, the platform, and the user — the "triangle."
— Tyr built its own platform in-house (launched ~1 month before recording) because third-party tracking isn't built for rewarded. Event-based CPA/CPE tracking can't give granular insight into which funnel works for which segment. The in-house system labels users automatically via machine learning and enables A/B testing reward funnels per segment.
— The day-7-to-day-30 curve is the priority. Reward hunters and gamblers deliver fast ROI (quick returns mean more UA spend sooner), while social users compound over 2-6 months. The goal is to spike returns early AND keep the LTV curve compounding past day 30 — because longer compounding lets you bid more aggressively.
— LiveOps is the secret weapon. Tyr's LiveOps layer triggers on specific events, purchases, or segment labels. Example: a user who hits level 100 in 3 days gets surprised with a harder "level 200 in 7 days" challenge; a user labeled a gambler gets pushed more aggressive reward structures. They can see exactly where users drop off and re-engage at those points.
— Tyr signed Nordeus (of Top Eleven / Pixel Federation orbit) as an exclusive offerwall partner. The strategic bet is on gaming supply over reward apps: reward apps are saturated with reward hunters, but gaming audiences skew casual + gambler (the healthier mix), and gaming whales already love spending. The long-term dream is connecting Tyr's LiveOps backend directly to publishers' LiveOps backends into one unified experience.

🎙️ HOST
Matej Lančarič — User Acquisition consultant
🎤 GUEST
Zino — CEO, TyrAds (Try Rewards)

Block Out by Grand Games is scaling to $300K/day — and it doesn't even have an Android version yet. It's about to become Grand Games' biggest title, overtaking Magic Sword, and the whole thing is a masterclass in perfect execution over original innovation.
Matej Lančarič, Jakub Remiar, and Felix Braberg break down Block Out, the deterministic sort puzzler that's quietly become one of the most aggressive scalers in mobile. The conversation covers how Block Out's iteration is now out-earning the game it borrowed from (Color Block Jam), the level-design difference that makes it more casual and more approachable, the UA upgrade that Jakub estimates at 500%+ over Grand's earlier games, the iOS-only / US-only / single-AppLovin-campaign soft launch playbook (the same one Pixel Flow used), the blended-ROAS interstitial strategy driving 32-36% ad revenue, and the 1,000+ creatives and 260 playables now powering the scale. Plus the bigger Grand Games story: a $70M raise, $105M+ total funding, and a template machine that takes proven concepts and executes them better than anyone.
The thesis, straight from the episode: Grand Games doesn't do giant innovation. They do perfect execution.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⏱️ TIMESTAMPS
00:00 the 500% UA upgrade
03:50 The numbers — $300K/day, 140K downloads/day, iOS only
06:40 The Grand Games template — perfect execution, not innovation
10:25 What a deterministic sort puzzler actually is
13:25 Block Out vs Color Block Jam — the level design difference
20:50 The soft launch playbook — one AppLovin campaign, US only
21:45 The ad question — blended ROAS and 32-36% ad revenue
26:30 The UA breakdown — Mintegral, 1,000 creatives, 260 playables--------------------------------------
PVX Partners offers non-dilutive funding for game developers.
Go to: https://pvxpartners.com/
They can help you access the most effective form of growth capital once you have the metrics to back it.
- Scale fast
- Keep your shares
- Drawdown only as needed
- Have PvX take downside risk alongside you
+ Work with a team entirely made up of ex-gaming operators and investors
---------------------------------------
For an ever-growing number of game developers, this means that now is the perfect time to invest in monetizing direct-to-consumer at scale.
Our sponsor FastSpring:
Has delivered D2C at scale for over 20 years
They power top mobile publishers around the world
Launch a new webstore, replace an existing D2C vendor, or add a redundant D2C vendor at fastspring.gg.
---------------------------------------
This is no BS gaming podcast 2.5 gamers session. Sharing actionable insights, dropping knowledge from our day-to-day User Acquisition, Game Design, and Ad monetization jobs. We are definitely not discussing the latest industry news, but having so much fun! Let’s not forget this is a 4 a.m. conference discussion vibe, so let's not take it too seriously.

Join our slack channel here: https://join.slack.com/t/two-and-half-gamers/shared_invite/zt-3bckldvr8-8PXvzciMWdheOzED9hq0SA

---------------------------------------
Matej Lancaric
User Acquisition & Creatives Consultant
⁠https://lancaric.me
Felix Braberg
Ad monetization consultant
⁠https://www.felixbraberg.com
Jakub Remiar
Game design consultant
⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/jakubremiar
---------------------------------------
Please share the podcast with your industry friends, dogs & cats. Especially cats! They love it!
Hit the Subscribe button on YouTube, Spotify, and Apple!
Please share feedback and comments - matej@lancaric.me
---------------------------------------
If you are interested in getting UA tips every week on Monday, visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠lancaric.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ & sign up for the Brutally Honest newsletter by Matej Lancaric
Do you have UA questions nobody can answer? Ask ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Matej AI⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - the First UA AI in the gaming industry! https://lancaric.me/matej-ai

Liftoff finally went public this week — at a valuation that tells you exactly what the public market thinks mobile ad networks are worth. That's just one of four stories this week that genuinely matter if you run UA.
Matej Lančarič flies solo for the breaking news segment, ranked from biggest to most practical. Liftoff listed on Nasdaq as LFT after a second attempt, raising $437M at a $3.83B valuation — a 25% haircut from the $5B it wanted in January, and below the private valuation General Atlantic paid in 2025. A Niko Partners report buried a number most Western publishers still aren't modeling: minigames are now almost 20% of mobile game spending in China. Akin launched AMF Capital with Makers Fund, opening with a $28M UA financing facility for Birhack. And the throughline of the week — mobile has officially shifted from core-first to event-first, with Monopoly Go's Simpsons crossover, Rovio's own admission, and Supercell's MoCo reboot all pointing the same direction.
The bar keeps moving up. The industry is consolidating around scale, capital, and live-ops.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⏱️ TIMESTAMPS
00:00 Supercell reboots MoCo's live-ops00:30 Liftoff goes public at $3.83B — the IPO breakdown03:00 China minigames are now 20% of mobile spend05:30 AMF Capital launches with a $28M UA financing deal07:00 Mobile shifts from core-first to event-first09:00 What event-first actually means for your UA

📌 KEY TAKEAWAYS
— Liftoff went public on Nasdaq (LFT) on its second attempt, raising $437M at a $3.83B valuation. That's a 25% haircut from the $5B it wanted in January, and below the private valuation General Atlantic paid in 2025. Even with 1.4B daily active users on the SDK and 40% growth in core advertising, the public market said no at the higher price. The money is going to pay down debt — this is balance-sheet cleanup, not a war-chest IPO.
— Why the IPO matters for everyone: mobile ad-tech now has a live public number to point at. Liftoff is doing roughly $740M in revenue with 40% core-advertising growth, valued at $3.83B. Run that multiple against AppLovin's premium, Moloco's valuation, or Digital Turbine and see how the math holds up.
— A Niko Partners report projects China and MENA games revenue passing $100B by 2030, but the buried number that matters is this: minigames are now almost 20% of mobile game spending in China. WeChat minigames, Douyin minigames — this is a real distribution channel with real ARPU and real LTV, not 2018-era HTML5 prototypes.
— The minigame opportunity is concrete: small companies in China can spend $20K/day and recoup it within roughly seven days. If you're advising a studio serious about China and the plan starts with TapTap, you may be knocking on the wrong door — minigames are the door.
— The lesson lands in the West in ~18 months. The Western playable-ad ecosystem is converging on the same mechanics: instant play, no install friction, opt-in attention. New companies (e.g. Jest) are moving in this direction. Pay attention now or pay more later.
— Akin launched AMF Capital with Makers Fund, opening with a $28M UA financing facility for Birhack. This is performance-tied UA capital — not equity, not VC, not a bank loan. You spend it on UA and pay it back from the revenue those users generate. PVX Partners, Pollen VC, and Bravo have been doing this for years; the category is now getting crowded, which is good for studios with strong UA economics blocked only by cash flow.
— Mobile has shifted from core-first to event-first. Three data points: Scopely launched a Simpsons crossover in Monopoly Go (June 3, Will Ferrell voicing Mr. Monopoly, Harry Shearer back as Mr. Burns — IP on top of IP), Rovio published a piece explicitly arguing the shift (a notable admission from the Angry Birds company), and Supercell rebooted MoCo by changing the live-ops layer (seasons, free gacha pools) rather than the game itself.

🎙️ HOST
Matej Lančarič — User Acquisition consultant