Washington Weekly Podcast: Government Funding, Private Sector equity stakes, & more
Shane drops by to update on government funding efforts ahead of the upcoming shutdown deadline, along with efforts in the Senate around the National Defense Authorization Act, and confirming Trump administration sub-cabinet nominees. Plus, thoughts on the US government taking direct equity stakes in private companies. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisors, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy
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13:04
UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Price perception problems'
The August US consumer price inflation data was not surprising. Durable goods prices continue to rise—after 29 months of deflation, their inflation rate has been positive and rising since May. These are less frequent purchases and so while the price moves do erode spending power, the consumer tends to be less aware of them.
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2:44
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2:44
UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Pricing data shaping policy expectations'
US official producer price inflation data was weaker than expected, but the details presented an interesting story. US assembled computers, electronic components, tires, and home textiles saw very abrupt increases in price, and the proxy for profit margins expanded for sectors like clothing stores.
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2:39
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2:39
UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Details matter'
Geopolitics is making headlines, but is generally ignored by markets. Israel’s air strike in Qatar moved the oil price a small amount, but investors are not pricing meaningful supply disruption. Reports of Russian incursions into Polish airspace are similarly downplayed. France has a new prime minister—Lecornu. While markets are not likely to bet on policy change, the US experience demonstrates the drag that policy uncertainty can have on corporate activity.
French Prime Minister Bayrou is expected to resign, having lost a parliamentary vote of confidence related to fiscal proposals. Assuming someone can be persuaded to take the job, that means five French prime ministers in under two years. Political turnover, debt, demographics, etc. invite parallels to 1990s Italy—but in drawing such parallels, it is worth remembering that Italy managed its debt position perfectly well over that period.
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