Anduril's Christian Brose on the Dangers of Unseriousness
Chrisian Brose is the Chief Strategy Officer at Anduril Industries. He’s been at the forefront of the debate about how America needs to change in order to win a future war against a high-tech adversary like China. He’s the former staff director for the Senate Armed Services Committee and the author of the essential book, The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare.
We discuss:
Why the U.S remains dangerously vulnerable to low-cost drone attacks and what it would take to get serious about defending the homeland,
How bureaucratic logjams and budget dysfunction stall America’s adoption of counter-drone and other critical defenses,
What the Ukraine war reveals about the future of warfare and what the US has yet to learn from it,
Why confidence in American technological superiority is misplaced, and why state-of-the-art weapons may not guarantee a quick or decisive war,
How humans will make military decisions in the age of AI.
Outro music: Kay Kyser - Praise The Lord And Pass The Ammunition (YouTube Link)
Gracie Fields - Thing-Ummy-Bob (That's Going To Win The War) (YouTube Link)
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1:29:21
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1:29:21
EMERGENCY POD: China's Rare Earth Export Controls
Chris Miller (chip wars), Chris McGuire (10 year State Dpt vet, check out the past episode on the feed) and I discuss a big move by MOFCOM to squeeze Trump in advance of their APEC summit.
Outtro Music: Paul Simon, Diamonds on the Soles of Her Shoes https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FAb2Mu0CRk4
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57:10
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AI Hardware Net Assessment: Why Huawei Can't Beat Nvidia
Last week, Jensen Huang said that China is “nanoseconds behind” the US in chipmaking. Is he right? Today, Chris McGuire joins ChinaTalk for a US-China AI hardware net assessment. Chris spent a decade as a civil servant in the State Department, serving as Deputy Senior Director for Technology and National Security on the NSC during the Biden administration and back at State for the initial months of Trump 2.0.
Today, our conversation covers:
Huawei vs Nvidia, and whether China can compete with US AI chip production,
Signs that chip export controls are working,
Why Jensen is full of it when he says China is “nanoseconds behind”
What sets AI chips apart from other industries China has indigenized,
How the US has escalation dominance in a trade war with China, and the significance of BIS’s 50% rule,
Chris’s advice for young professionals, including why they should still consider working in government.
Outtro Music: Abao Uduli https://open.spotify.com/track/176BwQLW0IGc2mhkkMe0yH
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1:28:28
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1:28:28
Second Breakfast: Putin's Drones, SecWar Patton, Wargaming, Finding Subs
Bryan Clark, a former submariner now with the Hudson Institute, joins the show!
Outtro speech: George C. Scott's rendition of Patton's speech
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1:01:10
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1:01:10
RAND's Jeff Alstott on How Facts Can Shape Tech Policymaking
At long last, Jeff Alstott, the fairy godfather of DC AI policy, joins the show. He’s the founding director for RAND’s center for technology and security policy, TASP, worked at NSC, NSF and IARPA, and has a PhD in complex networks.
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Conversations exploring China, technology, and US-China relations. Guests include a wide range of analysts, policymakers, and academics. Hosted by Jordan Schneider.
Check out the newsletter at https://www.chinatalk.media/
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