ChinaTalk

Jordan Schneider
ChinaTalk
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543 episodes

  • ChinaTalk

    Rare Earths: What is To Be Done?

    22/06/2026 | 59 mins.
    To discuss, we have Farrell Gregory, a researcher at the Foundation for American Innovation and winner of ChinaTalk’s Economic Security essay competition, and Joris Teer, a policy analyst at the EU Institute for Security Studies who authored Beijing’s critical raw material weapon – and how to dismantle it. Co-hosting is ChinaTalk’s Aqib Zakaria.

    Our conversation covers...


    China’s critical mineral weapon — How Beijing turned its dominance over rare earths into a tool of economic coercion and why the West is struggling to respond.


    25 minerals that actually matter — Why policymakers should focus on the specific materials China can weaponize rather than spreading resources across broad critical mineral lists.


    Why subsidies alone won’t fix the problem — How China’s industrial policy, overcapacity, and ability to flood markets make it nearly impossible for Western supply chains to compete without coordinated action.


    Reshoring the industrial base — The tradeoffs behind rebuilding domestic capacity: higher end-product costs, environmental NIMBYism, skilled labor shortages, and the need for deeper US-European cooperation.


    The next resource race — How defense, AI, robotics, and energy demand are intensifying competition for critical materials and what the future of allied industrial power might look like.

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  • ChinaTalk

    WarTalk with Ely Ratner on Iran War Peace + the 'BS' US-China Stalemate

    19/06/2026 | 1h 17 mins.
    Ely Ratner, former Assistant Secretary of Defense for Indo-Pacific Security Affairs and now a principal at the Marathon Initiative, joins Jordan, Bryan Clark, and Justin to make sense of the Iran ceasefire and where US-China competition goes next.

    We discuss:

    Why the MOU reads as a loss: the blockade comes down first, Iran keeps its missiles and its "nuclear dust," and a younger, harder regime learns it can take American firepower and wield an oil weapon

    The "bullshit détente" with Beijing and whether reindustrialization can carry a China-competition message without sounding hawkish

    Output metrics over input metrics, the seven-year force-posture problem, and what Ratner wishes he'd moved into the "break glass" category at the Pentagon

    RoboCom: the pros and cons of standing up a new combatant command

    Plus Crassus at Parthia, and why chasing parades is a bad idea unless you're the ny knicks

    suno song: https://suno.com/s/scu8twGj01AIOYSL
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  • ChinaTalk

    AI for Science!

    17/06/2026 | 49 mins.
    AI will make ideas cheap. What does that mean for sicence?

    Charles Yang is a fellow at Renaissance Philanthropies and writes about AI and science here: https://republicofscience.substack.com.

    We discuss…

    Why AI will crack math but not science, and what Mendel's peas sitting ignored for 60 years says about a model that's smarter than everyone

    Why China never caught the West's lone-genius bug, and why that's about to pay off

    Tools over ideas, from Warren Weaver's six instruments to the thousands at CERN who proved a Higgs boson three guys took home the Nobel for

    How do spend a billion dollars to save higher education

    AI, souls, and whether your Claude gets into heaven

    Suno song: https://suno.com/s/3Q11kw74vQmH7eLN
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  • ChinaTalk

    Emergency Pod: Claude Fable Fried + What's Going on at BIS?

    15/06/2026 | 1h 10 mins.
    Chris McGuire, former civil servant in State and the Biden White House now at CFR, talk about the export control craziness of these past two weeks.

    We discuss:

    The 5:21 PM letter that took the world's most powerful model offline

    Why the "let it rip" administration pivoted to mandatory AI regulation overnight

    The incoherent export-control regime: regs that still say one thing while policy says another

    The overseas-subsidiary loophole, the Sunday emergency fix, and the foundry gap still left open

    outtro music: https://suno.com/s/UVeDiboPyj0jvIgO
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  • ChinaTalk

    ModelTalk: Claude Fable (Nathan's pissed), is AI actually productive, advice for graduates

    12/06/2026 | 55 mins.
    Nathan Lambert of https://www.interconnects.ai/, Jasmine Sun of https://jasmi.news/, and guest Ethan Ding of https://ethanding.substack.com/ check in
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About ChinaTalk
Conversations exploring China, technology, and US-China relations. Guests include a wide range of analysts, policymakers, and academics. Hosted by Jordan Schneider. Check out the newsletter at https://www.chinatalk.media/
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