Full Episode - Both Parties Showing Cracks After Government Shutdown + How Democrats Can Win In Appalachia
On this episode of the Chuck ToddCast, Chuck breaks down the political fallout from the ending of the longest government shutdown in history— and what it revealed about both parties’ internal divides. He also answers listeners’ questions regarding the shutdown. Then, former intelligence officer and Democratic senate candidate from Kentucky Joel Willett joins Chuck Todd for a wide-ranging and deeply personal conversation — from his post-9/11 path into military service to the experiences that pushed him toward the Democratic Party. They highlight the parallels between his own story and JD Vance’s, offering candid thoughts on Hillbilly Elegy and how addiction, inequality, and disillusionment shape modern politics. He argues that the fentanyl crisis can’t be solved by policing supply alone — the real solution lies in investing in treatment, healthcare access, and rebuilding opportunity in communities like his home state of Kentucky. The conversation turns sharp as Willett critiques senate Democrats’ handling of the recent shutdown deal, calling it a “betrayal of the public,” and weighs in on the Democrats’ leadership struggles, the GOP’s subservience to Trump, and the erosion of national security norms. From the dangers of AI-era inequality to the growing politicization of the intelligence community, Willett warns that without courage and reform, even the institutions built to protect democracy could falter. Finally, he gives his update ToddCast Top 5 Senate seats most likely to flip parties, and answers more non-shutdown related questions in “Ask Chuck” Go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order. Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life! Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. 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Timeline: (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements) 00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction 03:15 Shutdown fight wasn’t only about healthcare, Dems wanted a fight 05:00 Shutdown was impacting people who don’t follow politics & risky 05:45 Democrats are fighting over tactics, not policy 07:30 Democrats need a leadership change, but may not happen right away 08:30 There’s a growing divide amongst Republicans in congress 09:30 The trickle down economy isn’t working for most Americans 10:30 Voters will want more guardrails on economy to help inequality 11:30 Q&A - Shutdown related questions 11:45 Republicans control government, why aren’t they getting more blame? 13:00 Media mistakenly believes the public understands government 15:15 Johnson kept the house adjourned to avoid optics issues 17:15 Journalists need to explain politics in a way that’s accessible 18:15 How do you win a shutdown fight? Is it possible to win one? 20:00 Congress should find a way to make shutdowns impossible 21:30 Shutdowns are purely for partisan actors 24:30 Is a tough vote the only thing Democrats extracted from shutdown? 28:00 Schumer is a terrible communicator and can’t communicate the win 29:30 Why was the legislative process so dysfunctional? 33:45 We need a congressional leader to make the committee process work 39:00 Joel Willett joins the Chuck ToddCast 41:00 Joel’s origin story 42:15 9/11 was what led Joel to join the armed services 44:00 Experiences in the military led him to join the Democratic party 46:00 Parallels between Joel’s origin story and JD Vance’s 47:00 Thoughts on Hillbilly Elegy? 48:45 It’s hard to square the JD Vance of 2016 vs Vance now 49:30 Politicians haven’t been able to address the fentanyl crisis 50:45 The conversation is only focused on supply side of overdose crisis 52:45 Investment needs to be made in treatment, not incarceration 54:45 It’s too tough to get access to quality rehab resources 56:30 You never get over the loss of a parent 57:15 Kentucky needs more healthcare facilities writ large 58:15 Administration has shown they don’t care about healthcare access 1:00:30 How should the government be thinking about future jobs in AI era? 1:02:30 AI is not the panacea that many think it is 1:04:15 Fascism grows in the fertile fields of inequality 1:05:30 Tax policy needs to address historic inequality 1:06:30 Capital gains should be taxed at least at the same rate as labor 1:08:45 Most people receiving benefits work or want to work 1:10:00 The system has been bought and paid for by entrenched interests 1:11:45 Why did Andy Beshear win and Amy McGrath lose? 1:13:30 Andy Beshear willing to speak his truth and show up 1:14:00 How would Joel try to win over Trump voters? 1:17:00 Shutdown deal struck by Democrats was a betrayal of the public 1:19:00 The shutdown fight isn’t technically over 1:20:45 8 Democrats who voted yes aren’t running for reelection in ‘26 1:21:30 ACA subsidies may actually get Republican votes in January 1:22:15 Republicans will do whatever Trump says to 1:23:45 Without a healthcare deal, Dems should shutdown govt in January 1:25:00 Should Chuck Schumer resign as senate minority leader? 1:26:15 Thoughts on Rand Paul and his distancing himself from Trumpworld? 1:28:00 Republicans aren’t governing for the entire country 1:30:15 Threats are being made to a free and fair election in ‘26 1:32:00 The state of the American intelligence community? 1:34:00 Joel’s security clearance revoked for saying mean things about Trump 1:34:45 Right wing Twitter is influencing the intelligence community 1:36:45 The military isn’t going to save America from authoritarianism 1:37:45 Resignation of head of southern command is a big deal 1:42:00 ToddCast Top 5 Senate seats most likely to flip parties 1:43:15 #1 North Carolina 1:47:30 #2 Maine 1:49:30 #3 Georgia 1:51:15 #4 Michigan 1:53:30 #5 Ohio 1:55:30 Democrats can absolutely win the majority in the senate 1:56:30 Ask Chuck 1:56:45 How different would America be if we hadn’t ended the draft? 1:59:45 Which college football head coaching jobs are most attractive? 2:03:15 Viability of female presidential candidates?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.