Tom Nelson

Randall Bock, a primary care physician and writer, discusses science as both knowledge and method, warning that post-COVID dissent can harden into new dogma. He argues the autism “epidemic” is confounded by shifting definitions, DSM changes, diagnostic substitution (notably from intellectual disability), incentives, and social context, making single-cause claims unreliable. Bock describes internal conflict with Brownstone and criticizes Toby Rogers’ vaccine-centered, revolutionary framing, including calls for massive reparations and abolishing vaccines, as unscientific moral certainty. He supports case-by-case risk–benefit thinking on vaccines and urges precise classification and evidence-led inquiry, comparing autism debates to oversimplified climate debates.

00:00 What Science Really Is
03:30 From Dissent To Dogma
05:48 Blind Men And Autism
09:04 Defining Autism First
10:49 Why Autism Looks Bigger
15:50 Genes Epigenetics And Timing
18:36 Twin Studies And Disputes
21:32 Diagnostic Drift And Labels
26:24 Mental Health Incentives
29:47 More Analogies Chrysalis
30:11 Butterfly Spectrum Metaphor
31:12 Gala Night Confrontation
35:01 Amateur Versus Expert
37:06 Autism Tsunami Claims
39:32 Marxist Vaccine Narrative
41:45 Denialism and Data
43:49 Monocausal Vaccine Thesis
45:59 Anger and Overcorrection
48:08 Amish and Diagnosis Context
51:44 Climate Analogy and Precision
55:48 RFK Memory and Institutions
57:25 Case by Case Conclusion

https://x.com/@DrRandallBock
Autism, Vaccines, and the Diagnostic Empire: https://randoctor.substack.com/p/autism-vaccines-and-the-diagnostic
The Truth About Autism and Vaccines Doesn’t Suit Either Side: https://dailysceptic.org/2026/02/14/the-truth-about-autism-and-vaccines-doesnt-suit-either-side/
The Hidden Cost of Mental Health Parity”: https://brownstone.org/articles/the-hidden-cost-of-mental-health-parity/
Unraveling Autism’s Surge: Genetics, Environment, and the Expanding Diagnostic Net https://randoctor.substack.com/p/unraveling-autisms-surge
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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Author Peter Bailey, president of the Prouty Project in Minneapolis, discusses formative travel and life experiences that shaped his leadership work and book, "The Epic of You." He recounts teenage journeys to India and a six-month overland trip across Africa featuring malaria, scarce roads in the Sahara, forged passports, wildlife in Tanzania and Kenya, and a flash flood. He describes early struggles with low self-esteem, addiction and sobriety at 22, risky subway riding, and later adventures like a Wyoming rodeo fall and learning polo at 55. Bailey explains using Joseph Campbell’s heroic journey to reframe adversity, details his 13-minute TEDx talk including his wife’s cancer “power and purpose” mindset, shares practices on names, mindfulness, and resting, and emphasizes community and discernment amid AI.

00:00 Meet Peter Bailey
00:33 Early Travel Roots
02:04 Six Months Across Africa
03:21 Hard Lessons and Journals
05:09 Crossing the Sahara
08:03 Safari Parks and Floods
10:10 Iran Riots at Sixteen
13:14 Book Origins and Identity
15:25 Subway Demons and Risk
16:07 Rodeo Wipeout Story
19:34 Learning Polo Later
22:01 Outward Bound and Dogsleds
24:10 Staying Warm and Prepared
25:02 Lonesome Dove Quotes
26:32 Prairie Stories and Brotherhood
28:02 From Hardship to Heroic Journey
28:46 Mapping the Heroic Journey
30:45 Leadership Work and Gifts
31:11 Crafting the TEDx Talk
32:08 Power and Purpose in Cancer
33:29 Owning Your Epic Life
34:44 Learning from Adversity and Nature
36:48 Remembering Names with Intention
40:38 Mindfulness over Multitasking
42:37 Rest All the Time
45:29 Anchoring Mindset in Sports
46:55 Everyday Epicness and Service
49:26 Next Chapter Aging and AI
52:11 Closing Thanks and Farewell

https://www.peter-bailey.com/
“The Epic of You” on Amazon: https://a.co/d/00P4YyVK
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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Tom interviews British doctor Clare Craig about her new book (including a newly released audiobook) and her involvement in a European Court of Human Rights case. Craig describes being smeared and censored during COVID, alleging UK information operations involving the 77th Brigade and a Counter Disinformation Unit, and cites claims of UN/UNICEF-funded influencer campaigns and problematic WHO priorities. She argues COVID policies (lockdowns, masking, distancing) and vaccines failed to stop infection, severe disease, or death, critiques scientific publishing and peer review, and recounts a dispute with The Lancet over a myocarditis paper she says misused data. Craig discusses ethical drift toward utilitarian public health, revisits historical narratives on smallpox vaccination and the 1918 “Spanish flu” (including a possible aspirin-toxicity role), and outlines the Finnish “Mika” case over vaccine restrictions.

00:00 Meet Clare Craig
09:26 Losing Trust In Institutions
18:42 Ethics Nuremberg To Helsinki
24:51 Smallpox Vaccine Origins
29:10 Crude Early Vaccines
29:58 Pushback and Belief
30:49 Smallpox Vaccine Reality
31:59 Monkeypox Emergency Politics
33:57 Spanish Flu Numbers
36:02 Two Pathologies Explained
38:12 Aspirin Toxicity Theory
42:24 Covid Wave Math
45:00 Aerosols Everywhere
48:05 Household Data and Vaccines
52:18 Where Did Flu Go
54:03 Dashboards and Modeled Data
56:20 Human Rights Case Closing

https://x.com/ClareCraigPath
Spiked: A shot in the dark: https://a.co/d/4W8P2JD
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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

David Dilley, a former NOAA and Air Force meteorologist, says climate is driven by natural “climate pulse” cycles from Earth–Moon–Sun gravitational/electromagnetic interactions, not human CO2. He argues warming and cooling have repeated for centuries and claims Arctic ice loss since 1990 is mainly from periodic surges of warm Atlantic subsurface water about every nine years. He critiques NOAA temperature averaging and ice-core CO2 estimates, citing fossil leaf stomata to claim CO2 often exceeded 300 ppm and that most post-1850 CO2 rise is natural. He forecasts a global cooling cycle starting around 2030 lasting 60–75 years, with shorter growing seasons, possible food shortages, and greater energy needs. He advocates shifting climate research funding and expanding thorium/molten-salt nuclear power.

00:00 Shorter Growing Seasons & Food Shortage Warnings (2030s)
00:31 Meet Meteorologist David Dilley + Climate Pulse Tech Overview
03:49 CO₂ Since 1850: Challenging the “All Fossil Fuels” Claim
05:05 Historic Warming & Cooling Cycles: Medieval Warm Period to Today
07:44 Why Arctic Ice Melted (1990–2025): Warm Atlantic Surges
10:52 How NOAA Calculates Global Temps: Oceans Skew the Average
13:39 Earth–Moon–Sun Cycles: The “Climate Pulse” & Long-Term Rhythms
17:49 Gravitational Peaks & the Coming Global Cooling Cycle
21:55 CO₂ Proxies Explained: Ice Cores vs Fossil Leaf Stomata
27:36 Correcting the CO₂ Record: Natural vs Human Contributions
33:10 CO₂ in the Atmosphere: What the Numbers Actually Are
35:30 Ocean Cycles 101: The Atlantic’s 65–70 Year Warm/Cold Pattern
38:42 ENSO Shift Ahead: La Niña to El Niño and ‘Erratic Weather’ (2027–2030)
40:27 2030 Arctic Freeze-Up Forecast: Cold Water ‘Plunges’ and Europe’s ‘Beast from the East’
41:40 All Oceans + Solar/Geomagnetic Cycles: Why the 2030s Could Flip to Cooling
43:16 Energy Crunch in a Cooling World: AI Power Demand, Heat Pumps, and Grid Risk
44:39 Next-Gen Nuclear Pitch: Molten Salt & Thorium Reactors vs Wind
51:39 Sudden Stratospheric Warming Explained: Jet Stream ‘Rubber Band’ Break
55:54 Food & Society Impacts: Shorter Growing Seasons, Europe Cold, and ‘Year Without a Summer’
01:02:54 Wrap-Up: Call to Refocus Research Away from ‘Political Science’

David Dilley’s March 2025 appearance on this podcast (episode #284): https://youtu.be/DKNP_LXp0o8
https://www.globalweathercycles.com/
http://www.globalweatheroscillations.com/
https://x.com/WeatherCycles
https://www.youtube.com/@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles
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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Paul Burgess presents updates to his Burgess Oceanic Solar CO2 index, claiming it precisely matches satellite temperatures from 1982–2025 without changing its fixed formula, including UAH v6.1 and final 2024–2025 data despite a record-low PDO. He says the index is not a forecasting model and implies ECS is 1°C, with ~25% warming from CO2 and ~22–23% from human CO2 after outgassing. A second paper argues oceans drive low-cloud changes (1–3 year lag), with ~2% cloud decline explaining warming, challenging IPCC positive feedbacks. He previews an extension back to 1900 with ~0.96 correlation using a UHI adjustment (Connolly 2021) and invites critique by email.

00:00 Paul Burgess Returns: Introducing the Oceanic Solar CO₂ Index Update
00:24 How the Index Matches Satellite Temps (and Why That’s Unusual)
01:02 No Curve-Fitting: Validation, Critiques, and Why It’s Public
02:19 Completing 2024–2025 + Switching UAH v6.0 to v6.1
03:42 Index vs Model: Fixed Formula, Inputs, and What It Can (and Can’t) Forecast
05:01 CO₂ Contribution & ECS = 1°C: What the Index Implies
07:01 Paper #1 Results: Record-Low PDO Stress Test and Fit Metrics
11:43 From Statistics to Physics: Paper #2 on Oceans, Clouds, and Sunlight
13:03 Clouds as Earth’s Thermostat: The ~2% Low-Cloud Change Claim
15:58 Cloud Layers & Evidence: Low Clouds Drive the Signal
17:58 IPCC Feedback Story Explained (and Critiqued)
21:31 Chicken-and-Egg Problem: Ocean–Cloud Coupling and the 1–3 Year Lag
22:00 Paper #3 Teaser: Testing Water Vapor, Albedo, and Cloud Feedbacks
27:21 Key Takeaways: Albedo/Ice Changes Follow Warming + Better Cloud Observations
28:19 Cloud Cover vs. Shortwave Radiation: What the Satellite Data Shows
28:59 Takeaway #3: Low Clouds as an Ocean-Driven “Sunshade” (Not a Warming Amplifier)
29:37 Four Key Lessons: Ocean Leads Clouds, and the Radiative Effect Matches
30:57 Implications for Climate Sensitivity: Why Models May Overstate CO₂ Feedbacks
32:07 How to Critique the Framework: Falsification Tests and Evidence Chain
34:57 Extending the BOI Back to 1900: Data Limits, UHI Adjustments, and Out-of-Sample Logic
36:12 Sneak Peek Results: BOI 1900–2025 and the 0.96 Correlation Claim
40:23 Q&A: How the BOI Coefficients Were Built (Covariance Fitting, Weights, Inputs)
43:51 Testing and Next Steps: Volcano Signals, Ocean Mechanisms, and Future Projections
47:02 Forecast vs. IPCC + Wrap-Up: Cooling Possibility, Politics, and Contact Info

Email: [email protected]
Explaining Every Temperature Change from 1983 to 2025 - My Most Important Work Ever: https://substack.com/home/post/p-182701114
Linking Ocean Heat, Low Clouds, and Sunlight In Burgess Oceanic index: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/linking-ocean-heat-low-clouds-and
Testing Water Vapour, Albedo and Cloud Feedback with the Burgess Oceanic Index: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/testing-water-vapour-albedo-and-cloud

Climate Realism by Paul Burgess: https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateRealism
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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1