The Macro Trading Floor

Alf and Brent are back on the show to discuss the recent price action in AI stocks which is also heavily impacting the bond market. Is the AI bubble popping? Are credit fears to be taken seriously, such that the asset allocation has to change? Or is this just a boring pullback like the many others we saw along the way in the AI trade?

Alf and Brent discuss the relentless bond yield and USD move. Can we get to 6% yields in the US, or even higher? And will stonks be able to handle it?

Alf and Brent are back to discuss the various macro blowups we are witnessing simultaneously: French spreads, front-end of the bond market, mortgage-backed securities, EM carry and so on. What's the best framework to apply for each of these?

Alf and Brent are back to discuss the Bessent buyback plan and its impact on markets. The duo focuses on gold, the long-end and the USD as potential release valves. The discussion then moves to two macro idiosyncratic ideas.

In this episode, Alf and Brent talk about the Fed's likely reaction function to incoming data and the Bessent/Japan accord on the JPY. The duo then discusses one of the trickiest questions for macro PMs: when to use options, and how to size them?