Credit Concern is Overblown Argues Financials Hedge Fund Manager Beating the S&P 500 | Derek Pilecki of Gator Capital
Derek Pilecki’s hedge fund Gator Capital has outperformed the S&P 500, compounding at over 22% since inception while focusing exclusively on financial sector stocks. In this interview Derek discusses why he thinks recent concern in the financial sector is overblown, how he has grown his firm’s assets to over $300m, and why he believes that good performance is simply not enough to grow a successful hedge fund. Derek also discusses how he manages his mutual fund alongside his hedge fund and why he doesn’t see the vehicles as competing but serving two separate investor bases.
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The Liquidity Divergence Between East and West | Michael Howell on Deteriorating Federal Liquidity While People’s Bank of China (PBOC) Injects Stimulus and Pumps Gold
Monetary Matters listeners can get 20% discounted access to an annual subscription of Michael Howell’s Capital Wars here: https://capitalwars.substack.com/MonetaryMatters
Michael Howell of GL Indexes and the Capital Wars Substack returns to Monetary Matters with alarming news. His readings of liquidity from over 90 central banks indicate that global central bank liquidity is deteriorating, led primarily by the Federal Reserve. Howell’s measure of Fed liquidity is weakening because the Fed’s Reverse Repo (RRP) facility is effectively fully drained. This is partially offset by U.S. Treasury issuing lots of short-duration bills, as well as People’s Bank of China injecting 7+ Trillion Yuan into its money markets and pumping the price of gold in yuan terms. Howell sees a growing divergence between East and West and warns that 2026 “won’t be a great year for financial assets.” Recorded on October 21, 2025.
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The Core of Dollar Weakness | George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank's Head of FX Research, on Growth Differentials, Fed Rate Cuts, and 4% U.S. Current Account as Key Threshold For USD Declines
George Saravelos, head of FX research at Deutsche Bank,
joins Jack on Monetary Matters to go deep into the world of currency
trading. Jack and George discuss central bank independence, emerging markets, carry positions, hedging, and more. George gives a clear and intelligent look at the often-opaque foreign exchange market and explains his views on it. Don’t miss this episode. Recorded on October 20, 2025.
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George’s FX podcast for Deutsche Bank https://tinyurl.com/4nh5d3y9
George's Primer, "The Brilliant World of FX": https://www.dbresearch.com/PROD/RPS_EN-PROD/The_Brilliant_World_of_FX_-_A_Primer/RPS_EN_DOC_VIEW.calias?rwnode=PROD0000000000464258&ProdCollection=PROD0000000000542285
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The Dollar’s Impossible Trifecta | Jon Turek on Why USD Hedging Flows Will Increase Throughout Fed’s Rate Cutting Cycle
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm
Jon Turek of JST Advisors explains why he thinks a decline in U.S. interest rates will make dollar hedging more attractive to foreign owners of U.S. assets. He makes the case for steeper yield curves around the world, reviews the situation in China, and shares his thoughts on the wild bull market in gold. Recorded on October 16, 2025.
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Cockroaches in Credit? | Jack & Max on Zion’s Cali CRE Write-off, Big Bank Earnings Blowout, and First Brands Update
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm
Jack and Max break down the beginning of earnings season. Jack reviews a new credit flare-up in California’s commercial real estate (CRE) market that affected Zions Bancorporation and Western Alliance Bancorporation, before commenting on the very strong earnings from the large banks such as Bank of America and JPMorgan. Max and Jack then discuss precious metals, as well as current market positioning as revealed by brokerage data. Recorded on October 17, 2025.
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UK