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Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Jack Farley
Monetary Matters with Jack Farley
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268 episodes

  • Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

    “Sleepwalking into Crisis”: Why The Oil Market Hasn’t Imploded Yet | Kpler’s Matt Smith

    07/06/2026 | 1h 8 mins.
    Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN):

    https://teucrium.com/corn

    In this episode of Monetary Matters, host Jack sits down with Matt Smith, the Director of Research at Kepler, to analyze how the global oil market is sleepwalking into a major supply crisis four months into the Iran war conflict. With the Strait of Hormuz closed for over three months, approximately 11 million barrels per day of crude supply have been removed from the market, forcing a global reduction of 9 million barrels per day in refinery runs. Smith explains that China's sudden decision to halt buying and scale back its own refinery operations temporarily freed up 4.5 million barrels per day for the global market, masking the true severity of the physical shortage. Meanwhile, the United States has acted as a primary buffer by heavily exporting refined products overseas, which has caused domestic inventories—particularly at the Cushing pricing hub—to deplete rapidly toward critical operational bottoms. Despite these deep structural deficits, headline benchmarks remain under $100 due to seasonal demand lulls and political interventions, leaving the trading market in a temporary state of complacency. Ultimately, Smith warns that a major market breakdown could occur as early as July when these dwindling stockpiles finally run dry and force a dramatic price response.

    This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, "Why Investors Are  Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs," to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today. 

    Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs 

    CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn 

    This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. The prospectus is available at  https://teucrium.com/corn.

    Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and  instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past  performance does not guarantee future results. 

    For further discussion of these and additional risks associated with an investment in the Funds please read the  respective Fund Prospectus before investing. 

    CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT are commodity pools regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading  Commission (CFTC). The Funds do not track the spot price of corn, sugar, soybeans or wheat. These Funds,  which are ETPs, are not a mutual fund or any other type of Investment Company within the meaning of the  Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and are not subject to regulation thereunder. Teucrium Trading,  LLC is the Sponsor for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT. 

    PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT and is not affiliated with  Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Teucrium Trading, LLC.
  • Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

    The AI Chip Bubble: Why South Korea & Taiwan Are In the Danger Zone | Michael Fritzell | Asian Century Stocks

    06/06/2026 | 1h 8 mins.
    In this episode of Other People’s Money, host Max Wiethe sits down with Michael Fritzell, author of Asian Century Stocks, to break down the massive valuation divergence playing out across Asian equity markets. Michael explains why he believes the skyrocketing AI and memory chip sectors in South Korea and Taiwan have entered dangerous bubble territory, fueled by unsustainable profit estimates that ignore looming Chinese supply. Instead of chasing the tech hype, he highlights the massive upside hidden in overlooked South Korean small caps and Japanese growth stocks that are trading at single-digit multiples despite solid fundamentals. Tune in to discover how corporate governance reforms, insider buying trends, and a forming "New Cold War" are creating the ultimate stock-picker's market.

    Read Asian Century Stocks: https://www.asiancenturystocks.com/

    Follow Michael on X: https://x.com/MikeFritzell

    Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe

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    Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M

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    Timestamps:

    00:00 Korea Chip Bubble Warning

    00:42 Why Asia Diverges Now

    02:26 AI Mania Hits Korea

    04:37 Bubble Case for Memory

    06:40 China Supply Response

    09:18 Memory Versus Logic Chips

    11:33 Speculation on the Ground

    13:41 Western Investors Pile In

    15:44 Japan Reforms and Yen Boom

    18:26 Korea Governance Fixes

    24:20 Korea Small Cap Hunting

    25:45 K Beauty and Cultural Exports

    30:52 Finding Ideas Before The US

    31:57 Nintendo Versus Memory Costs

    33:19 Nintendo Release Drought

    35:36 Switch 2 Execution Questions

    37:39 Family Console vs Roblox

    38:25 Iran War Energy Shock

    41:50 India & China Underperformance

    45:17 China Crackdowns Risk

    50:42 The China Gray Zone Trade

    54:25 New Cold War Lines

    56:54 Hunting Value Across Asia

    01:02:19 Reforms and Value Programs

    01:04:06 How Much to Allocate to Asia

    01:07:41 Where to Follow Michael
  • Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

    Overvaluation Meets Macro Risk: Why This Massive Asset Manager is Getting Bearish | Jim Masturzo | Research Affiliates

    31/05/2026 | 1h 18 mins.
    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm

    In this episode of Monetary Matters, host Jack Farley sits down with Jim Masturzo, Chief Investment Officer at Research Affiliates, to discuss the changing macroeconomic landscape and the underlying flaws of the traditional 60/40 portfolio. Masturzo explains that the recent positive correlation between stocks and bonds requires investors to find true diversifiers, though he still sees tactical opportunities in trading range-bound bond yields. The conversation explores the AI-driven market narrative, with Masturzo highlighting that the U.S. market is significantly overvalued at a CAPE ratio of 40 and examining the resulting ripple effects on software stock valuations. Finally, he details his bullish conviction trade on commodities amidst severe geopolitical supply chain risks and introduces his firm's new fundamentally weighted RAFI Growth Index.

    Follow Research Affiliates on X: https://x.com/RA_Insights

    Follow Jack Farley on X: https://x.com/JackFarley96

    Follow Monetary Matters on:

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    Timestamps:

    00:00 Market Overvaluation Setup

    00:53 Meet Jim Masturzo

    01:23 60 40 Under Pressure

    02:50 Finding True Diversifiers

    06:24 Why Yields Stay Bounded

    11:29 Government Backstops And YCC

    14:09 Fed Balance Sheet Fears

    17:28 Sponsor Break HFGM

    19:44 Range Intact Tactical View

    25:26 Private Credit Shift Risks

    28:36 Stocks Rally And AI Narrative

    33:31 CAPE Valuations Explained

    36:19 Earnings Growth Skepticism

    39:00 AI Adoption Reality Check

    45:53 AI Investing Limits

    49:26 Why Earnings Forecasts Fail

    54:18 SaaSpocalypse and Risk Framework

    01:02:37 Valuation Multiples and GAAP Focus

    01:06:44 Conviction Trades Commodities and Bonds

    01:14:38 Research Affiliates and RAFI Indices

    01:16:21 Fundamental Growth Index Explained
  • Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

    How This Real Estate Investor is Betting on an AI Boom (It’s Not Data Centers) | Tom Shapiro

    26/05/2026 | 1h
    Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://fundrise.com/mm

    In this episode of Other People's Money, GTIS Partners founder and CIO Tom Shapiro breaks down how massive macroeconomic shifts, including AI and inflation, are reshaping the global real estate landscape. He explains why his firm is heavily betting on a San Francisco recovery driven by the booming AI sector, and how they are scooping up properties at steep discounts to replacement costs. Shapiro also details the severe oversupply challenges currently stalling popular Sun Belt cities, alongside the firm's strategic push into industrial logistics to capitalize on domestic reshoring trends. Finally, he shares decades of expertise on navigating the complex Brazilian real estate market, offering a masterclass on global investment strategies in a high-interest-rate environment.

    Learn more about GTIS Partners: https://www.gtispartners.com/

    Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe

    Follow Other People’s Money on:



    Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M

    Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi

    YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR

    X https://x.com/opmpod

    Timestamps:

    00:00 Intro

    01:30 Macro Shocks and Inflation

    02:30 AI Disruption Risks

    04:27 Tracking Jobs and Households

    06:09 Immigration and Rate Politics

    08:03 Build to Rent Bill Fallout

    11:57 Affordability and Mortgage Rates

    14:41 Fundrise Income Fund

    16:36 Regional Winners and Losers

    17:12 Sun Belt Oversupply Pain

    19:57 San Francisco Comeback Thesis

    24:35 AI Occupancy and Investment Plays

    28:28 Picking Buildings Block by Block

    30:02 Picking the Right Building

    30:21 Safety and City Recovery

    33:39 AI Jobs and Office Demand

    35:17 Froth and Real Revenues

    37:39 Data Centers NIMBY Debate

    39:54 Reshoring and Warehouse Boom

    44:09 Real Estate Capital Markets

    49:07 Why Brazil Worked

    52:46 Brazil Rates and Currency

    55:15 Politics and China Pull

    58:44 US Outlook and Wrap Up
  • Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

    Things Are Going to Get Even Crazier: The Macro Regime Shift | Andreas Steno Larsen

    25/05/2026 | 1h 8 mins.
    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm

    Andreas Steno Larsen, macro researcher from Real Vision, joins Max Wiethe on Other People’s Money to discuss the shifting macro regime where inflation has returned and is pushing US Treasury yields over 5%. They discuss the market’s expectation for interest rate hikes and how the new Fed chair Kevin Warsh will react to this environment. They also discuss the other dominant force in markets right now, the AI buildout. Steno Larsen argues that things are going to get crazier before the cycle turns later this year, but in the meantime the shortages in the AI supply chain are creating unappreciated winners in the technology sector.

    Follow Andreas Steno Larsen on X: https://x.com/AndreasSteno

    Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe

    Follow Other People’s Money on:



    Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M

    Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi

    YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR

    X https://x.com/opmpod

    Timestamps:

    00:00 Intro

    00:50 Inflation and the Big Macro Shift

    01:43 Transitory Inflation Debate

    04:19 Bond Trade Timing

    06:13 Steep Curve Playbook

    09:41 Why Steepening Helps

    12:24 Strong Dollar EM Risk

    14:35 HFGM Unlimited Funds

    16:51 India Data Versus Rupee

    18:24 Energy Supply Countdown

    21:23 LatAm Underperformance

    23:27 AI Inflation Link

    26:52 Korea Semis Surge

    28:26 Momentum with Earnings

    30:39 Quantum Hype Warning

    32:24 Semis Cycle Peak Question

    34:47 Late Cycle Winners Flip

    39:01 IPO Supply and Rotation

    43:35 Valuation Metrics Reframed

    46:11 Hidden Scarcity Trade

    49:21 Goods Inflation Returns

    51:15 AI Jobs and Robotics

    54:07 White Collar Disruption Map

    59:53 LLMs and Bad Facts

    01:04:47 Momentum vs. Value Edge

    01:06:15 Rapid Fire Outlook and Wrap
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About Monetary Matters with Jack Farley
Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

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