321 episodes
Preparing For 2027 Inflection in Global Liquidity | Michael Howell’s Bull Case For Bonds and Tepid View of Liquidity-Sensitive Assets
02/11/2026 | 1h 29 mins.20% discount to annual subscription of Michael Howell’s Substack, “Capital Wars”:
https://capitalwars.substack.com/MonetaryMatters
This episode is brought to you by Sarmaya Partners. Learn more about Sarmaya’s LENS ETF, their full data and comparison, including performance here:
https://sarmayaetf.com/
The AI build-out is draining liquidity. Hyperscalers need close to $1 trillion of debt a year for the next two years, with equity issuance right behind, and roughly 80% of AI funding now comes from markets rather than cash flow.
Michael Howell explains why transformative-technology booms usually end in recessions or financial crises, why the global liquidity cycle has already turned, and what that means for stocks, bonds, Bitcoin and gold heading into 2027. Recorded October 29, 2026.
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Important Information
The Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses must be considered carefully before investing. This and other important information are contained in the prospectus, which may be obtained by following the links Prospectus and Summary Prospectus or by calling +1.215.330.4476. Please read the prospectus carefully before
investing.
There is no assurance that the fund will achieve its investment objective. The Fund may not be suitable for all investors. Investors should continue to review their investment objectives and risk tolerance periodically.
An investment in the Fund involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Exchange traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, are subject to investment risk, fluctuate in market value and may trade at prices above or below the ETF’s net asset value (NAV), and are not individually redeemable directly with the ETF. Brokerage commissions and ETF expenses will reduce returns. ETFs are subject to specific risks, depending on the nature of the underlying strategy of the Fund, which should be considered carefully when making investment decisions. For a complete description of the Fund’s principal investment risks, please refer to the prospectus at https://sarmayaetf.com/
Metals and Mining Companies Risk. Metals and mining companies can be significantly affected by events relating to international political and economic developments, energy conservation, the success of exploration projects, commodity prices, tax and other government regulations. Investments in metals and mining companies may be speculative and may be subject to greater price volatility than investments in other types of companies.
Management Risk. The Fund is actively managed and may not meet its investment objective based on the Adviser’s, Sub-Adviser’s, or portfolio manager’s success or failure to implement investment strategies for the Fund.
Shares of the Fund Are Not FDIC Insured, May Lose Value, and Have No Bank Guarantee.
The Fund is distributed by PINE Distributors LLC. The Fund’s investment adviser is Empowered Funds, LLC, which is doing business as ETF Architect. Sarmaya Partners LLC serves as the Sub-Advisor to the Fund. PINE Distributors LLC is not affiliated with ETF Architect or Sarmaya Partners LLC.The Fed Has AI’s Back | Dan Krausz on “Liquidity Trap Door” In AI Infrastructure and Why Policymakers Are Inclined to Support Financial Conditions
01/11/2026 | 1h 17 mins.This episode is brought to you by Sarmaya Partners. Learn more about Sarmaya’s LENS ETF, their full data and comparison, including performance here:
https://sarmayaetf.com/
Dan Kraus of Blue Door Asset Management argues that the AI sell-off isn’t about AI fundamentals but about liquidity. As the buildout shifted from hyperscaler cash to market financing, it began competing with Treasuries for capital, so weaker credits like CoreWeave get hit first when liquidity tightens. In his words, “when liquidity weakens, time frames shorten”: concerns that were 18 months out suddenly get priced today. He explains why he expects policymakers to put “trampolines” under the trapdoor. With Bessent calling the AI race crucial and Warsh calling AI disinflationary, hiking rates to kill the buildout would be inconsistent, and some major investors have even floated a “Fannie Mae for AI.” We break down Warsh’s October press conference, why it matters that he didn’t call the economy overheating the way Greenspan did in 1999, and why Dan expects growth and the consumer to slow in 2027. Dan also explains why the rally in AI-disrupted stocks looks like a short squeeze rather than a comeback, why AI may become table stakes rather than a lasting margin boost, and the four warning signs that deficits have turned negative for equities (none are flashing yet).
Follow Monetary Matters on:
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Important Information
The Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses must be considered carefully before investing. This and other important information are contained in the prospectus, which may be obtained by following the links Prospectus and Summary Prospectus or by calling +1.215.330.4476. Please read the prospectus carefully before
investing.
There is no assurance that the fund will achieve its investment objective. The Fund may not be suitable for all investors. Investors should continue to review their investment objectives and risk tolerance periodically.
An investment in the Fund involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Exchange traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, are subject to investment risk, fluctuate in market value and may trade at prices above or below the ETF’s net asset value (NAV), and are not individually redeemable directly with the ETF. Brokerage commissions and ETF expenses will reduce returns. ETFs are subject to specific risks, depending on the nature of the underlying strategy of the Fund, which should be considered carefully when making investment decisions. For a complete description of the Fund’s principal investment risks, please refer to the prospectus at https://sarmayaetf.com/
Metals and Mining Companies Risk. Metals and mining companies can be significantly affected by events relating to international political and economic developments, energy conservation, the success of exploration projects, commodity prices, tax and other government regulations. Investments in metals and mining companies may be speculative and may be subject to greater price volatility than investments in other types of companies.
Management Risk. The Fund is actively managed and may not meet its investment objective based on the Adviser’s, Sub-Adviser’s, or portfolio manager’s success or failure to implement investment strategies for the Fund.
Shares of the Fund Are Not FDIC Insured, May Lose Value, and Have No Bank Guarantee.
The Fund is distributed by PINE Distributors LLC. The Fund’s investment adviser is Empowered Funds, LLC, which is doing business as ETF Architect. Sarmaya Partners LLC serves as the Sub-Advisor to the Fund. PINE Distributors LLC is not affiliated with ETF Architect or Sarmaya Partners LLC.Why Compute Prices Are Still Rising | Steve Hou of Silicon Data on GPU Rental Indices, Fed Meeting, and Anthropic S-1 (LIVE)
28/10/2026 | 1h 3 mins.This episode is brought to you by Sarmaya Partners. Learn more about Sarmaya’s LENS ETF, their full data and comparison, including performance here:
https://sarmayaetf.com/
Steve Hou of Silicon Data joins Monetary Matters on the day the Fed held rates with two hawkish dissents, Alphabet and Microsoft reported earnings, and two days after Anthropic’s S-1 filing.
Silicon Data publishes the GPU rental indices behind CME’s planned compute futures. We discuss why renting an Nvidia H100 costs about 45% more than it did in December, why transaction prices and asking prices have diverged, and whether the forward curve says GPU rents keep rising. We also cover the “crunch spread” between rising GPU costs and falling token prices, what Anthropic’s S-1 reveals about the economics of frontier AI labs, what [Alphabet’s and Microsoft’s capex guidance] means for future compute supply, and how higher interest rates feed into the cost of AI infrastructure.
Topics:
The 2026 GPU price spike, and why older chips got more expensive
Silicon Data vs. Ornn: asking prices vs. transacted prices
Compute futures: the CME delay, contango vs. backwardation, and who hedges
Token pricing and the crunch spread
Anthropic’s S-1: contracted compute vs. spot prices
Alphabet and Microsoft capex, and what it means for GPU supply
The Fed’s hawkish hold, and rates as a cost of compute
Important Information
The Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses must be considered carefully before investing. This and other important information are contained in the prospectus, which may be obtained by following the links Prospectus and Summary Prospectus or by calling +1.215.330.4476. Please read the prospectus carefully before
investing.
There is no assurance that the fund will achieve its investment objective. The Fund may not be suitable for all investors. Investors should continue to review their investment objectives and risk tolerance periodically.
An investment in the Fund involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Exchange traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, are subject to investment risk, fluctuate in market value and may trade at prices above or below the ETF’s net asset value (NAV), and are not individually redeemable directly with the ETF. Brokerage commissions and ETF expenses will reduce returns. ETFs are subject to specific risks, depending on the nature of the underlying strategy of the Fund, which should be considered carefully when making investment decisions. For a complete description of the Fund’s principal investment risks, please refer to the prospectus at https://sarmayaetf.com/
Metals and Mining Companies Risk. Metals and mining companies can be significantly affected by events relating to international political and economic developments, energy conservation, the success of exploration projects, commodity prices, tax and other government regulations. Investments in metals and mining companies may be speculative and may be subject to greater price volatility than investments in other types of companies.
Management Risk. The Fund is actively managed and may not meet its investment objective based on the Adviser’s, Sub-Adviser’s, or portfolio manager’s success or failure to implement investment strategies for the Fund.
Shares of the Fund Are Not FDIC Insured, May Lose Value, and Have No Bank Guarantee.
The Fund is distributed by PINE Distributors LLC. The Fund’s investment adviser is Empowered Funds, LLC, which is doing business as ETF Architect. Sarmaya Partners LLC serves as the Sub-Advisor to the Fund. PINE Distributors LLC is not affiliated with ETF Architect or Sarmaya Partners LLC.The Fed Put Is Dead: Why Stagflation & a Bear Market Are Next | Vincent Deluard | StoneX
27/10/2026 | 1h 8 mins.This episode is brought to you by Sarmaya Partners. Learn more about Sarmaya’s LENS ETF, their full data and comparison, including performance here: https://sarmayaetf.com/
Vincent Deluard, Director of Global Macro Strategy at StoneX, breaks down why a broader equity bear market may already be underway beneath surface-level index strength. Deluard unpacks the approaching stagflationary squeeze, driven by persistent wage pressures, slowing fiscal subsidies, and a looming political gridlock that strips away both monetary and fiscal safety nets. He outlines a tactical rotation out of equities and into long-term Treasuries over the next six months, capitalizing on year-end liquidity, pension fund rebalancing, and debt ceiling constraints. Finally, the conversation looks abroad to the escalating fiscal spiral in France and the broader structural crisis facing the Eurozone, mapping out why currency devaluation or fragmentation may be inevitable.
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Important Information
The Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses must be considered carefully before investing. This and other important information are contained in the prospectus, which may be obtained by following the links Prospectus and Summary Prospectus or by calling +1.215.330.4476. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing.
There is no assurance that the fund will achieve its investment objective. The Fund may not be suitable for all investors. Investors should continue to review their investment objectives and risk tolerance periodically.
An investment in the Fund involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Exchange traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, are subject to investment risk, fluctuate in market value and may trade at prices above or below the ETF’s net asset value (NAV), and are not individually redeemable directly with the ETF. Brokerage commissions and ETF expenses will reduce returns.
ETFs are subject to specific risks, depending on the nature of the underlying strategy of the Fund, which should be considered carefully when making investment decisions. For a complete description of the Fund’s principal investment risks, please refer to the prospectus at https://sarmayaetf.com
Metals and Mining Companies Risk. Metals and mining companies can be significantly affected by events relating to international political and economic developments, energy conservation, the success of exploration projects, commodity prices, tax and other government regulations. Investments in metals and mining companies may be speculative and may be subject to greater price volatility than investments in other types of companies.
Management Risk. The Fund is actively managed and may not meet its investment objective based on the Adviser’s, Sub-Adviser’s, or portfolio manager’s success or failure to implement investment strategies for the Fund.
Shares of the Fund Are Not FDIC Insured, May Lose Value, and Have No Bank Guarantee.
The Fund is distributed by PINE Distributors LLC. The Fund’s investment adviser is Empowered Funds, LLC, which is doing business as ETF Architect. Sarmaya Partners LLC serves as the Sub-Advisor to the Fund. PINE Distributors LLC is not affiliated with ETF Architect or Sarmaya Partners LLC.
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
01:03 Bear Market Call
02:58 Why Treasuries Now
07:12 Secular Inflation View
08:46 AI Bubble and Taxes
11:38 Fiscal Boost to Margins
14:55 Sarmaya LENS ETF
16:22 Fed Stagflation Trap
24:53 Oil Shock Tail Risk
29:24 France Debt Spiral
34:55 Euro Devaluation Fix
40:07 Weak Euro Politics
43:53 Euro Designed for Crisis
48:34 ECB Tightening and Succession
52:33 Brazil Election Shock and Flows
56:12 Brazil Terms of Trade TailwindsCitrini: Monkeys Are The Next Bottleneck | Citrini on AI Drug Discovery Experiment & Reflexive Financing Risk to AI Buildout & Hardware Trade
25/10/2026 | 1h 26 mins.This episode is brought to you by Sarmaya Partners. Learn more about Sarmaya’s LENS ETF, their full data and comparison, including performance here:
https://sarmayaetf.com/
Citrini teamed up with Anthropic and used Claude to design scorpion antivenom candidates in just 64 hours, and 17 of them bound in the lab. The experiment led him to a striking conclusion: AI is commoditizing drug design, and the real bottleneck is now experiments, and monkeys. We get into what AI can and can’t speed up in drug discovery, why he’s bullish on the companies that run experiments, and why a monkey shortage may be the most important constraint in preclinical testing. Then we turn to AI hardware: Citrini was one of the earliest and loudest bulls on the trade, and today he’s light on it, even short some of it. He explains why he rotated out of semis, what lab revenue needs to look like to justify today’s spending, and what would bring him back. We also cover CoreWeave, DeepSeek’s reported 80% margins, his long-Meta, short-Google trade, the 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis piece, and homebuilders. Recorded evening of October 21, 2026.Follow Citrini on X https://x.com/citrini
CItrini Research Substack https://www.citriniresearch.com/
“Citrini Therapeutics: We Wanted to Use Claude to Create a New Drug. Here’s What Happened.”: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/citrini-therapeutics
Follow Monetary Matters on:
Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh
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Important Information
The Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses must be considered carefully before investing. This and other important information are contained in the prospectus, which may be obtained by following the links Prospectus and Summary Prospectus or by calling +1.215.330.4476. Please read the prospectus carefully before
investing.
There is no assurance that the fund will achieve its investment objective. The Fund may not be suitable for all investors. Investors should continue to review their investment objectives and risk tolerance periodically.
An investment in the Fund involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Exchange traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, are subject to investment risk, fluctuate in market value and may trade at prices above or below the ETF’s net asset value (NAV), and are not individually redeemable directly with the ETF. Brokerage commissions and ETF expenses will reduce returns. ETFs are subject to specific risks, depending on the nature of the underlying strategy of the Fund, which should be considered carefully when making investment decisions. For a complete description of the Fund’s principal investment risks, please refer to the prospectus at https://sarmayaetf.com/
Metals and Mining Companies Risk. Metals and mining companies can be significantly affected by events relating to international political and economic developments, energy conservation, the success of exploration projects, commodity prices, tax and other government regulations. Investments in metals and mining companies may be speculative and may be subject to greater price volatility than investments in other types of companies.
Management Risk. The Fund is actively managed and may not meet its investment objective based on the Adviser’s, Sub-Adviser’s, or portfolio manager’s success or failure to implement investment strategies for the Fund.
Shares of the Fund Are Not FDIC Insured, May Lose Value, and Have No Bank Guarantee.
The Fund is distributed by PINE Distributors LLC. The Fund’s investment adviser is Empowered Funds, LLC, which is doing business as ETF Architect. Sarmaya Partners LLC serves as the Sub-Advisor to the Fund. PINE Distributors LLC is not affiliated with ETF Architect or Sarmaya Partners LLC.
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Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.
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